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0x72c0ea...4bd9ff

0x72c0ea...4bd9ff
Smart Score
46
Win Rate
41.1%
Total P&L
+$635
Trade Count
852
Sharpe Ratio
1.25
Sortino Ratio
36.34
Max Drawdown
101.3%
ROI
69.1%
Profit Factor
5.67
Kelly Fraction
0.339
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
046.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?SELL9.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?SELL9.9¢14.87Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?SELL23.0¢2Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?SELL23.0¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?SELL26.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?SELL44.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?BUY32.0¢14.875Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?BUY21.3¢16.23Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY25.0¢18.8Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 3?BUY27.0¢7.4Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 3?SELL16.0¢5Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 3?BUY17.0¢7.4Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 2?SELL38.0¢4.55Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?SELL24.0¢0.45Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 2?SELL41.0¢3.44Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?SELL29.0¢5Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 1?BUY30.0¢15.867Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 2?BUY39.0¢8Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?BUY23.0¢8Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?BUY27.0¢0.45Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%89%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing46.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.1%
Win Consistency49.0%
Profit Factor1.20
Drawdown Resilience0.97
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97
Weekly Sharpe est.0.74
Trading Activity852 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1332d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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