0x747669c1B04148EA8EEf2780c25d862D5Db2aF2b-1759228088605

0x747669...b2af2b

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.0%

Total P&L

+$79

Trade Count

691

Sharpe Ratio

0.12

Sortino Ratio

7.22

Max Drawdown

146221.7%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

1.56

Kelly Fraction

0.314

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	95.0¢	4	Mar 4
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	SELL	90.0¢	6.14	Mar 4
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	SELL	88.8¢	44.27	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	SELL	97.8¢	29.64	Mar 4
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	BUY	91.0¢	6.066	Mar 4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	82.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	BUY	98.0¢	30.276	Mar 4
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	88.9¢	45.456	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	88.0¢	4	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	95.1¢	8.7	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.4¢	4.025	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.4¢	4.025	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	95.0¢	5.021	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	90.0¢	4.089	Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.9¢	4.045	Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.6¢	3.043	Mar 4
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	88.7¢	3.044	Mar 4
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	98.0¢	6	Mar 3
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?	BUY	98.1¢	6.055	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.90

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.4%

Win Consistency22.4%

Profit Factor0.90

Drawdown Resilience0.72

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72

Weekly Sharpe est.0.55

Trading Activity691 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$8439d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue