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0x74a292

0x1f56b4...33ccd7
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
73.0%
Total P&L
+$8.0K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Sortino Ratio
93.28
Max Drawdown
244.1%
ROI
26.8%
Profit Factor
3.63
Kelly Fraction
0.529
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
048.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 30% and 35%?SELL0.1¢20Oct 10
Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 3?SELL99.4¢9.65Oct 2
Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 3?SELL99.4¢8.199Oct 2
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?SELL0.1¢100Oct 2
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?SELL0.1¢100Oct 2
Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 3?SELL98.3¢25.401Oct 2
Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 3?SELL98.7¢6.75Oct 2
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?SELL97.4¢29.79Oct 1
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5% and 42.9% on October 3?SELL93.9¢50Oct 1
Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?SELL0.1¢50Oct 1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?SELL0.1¢100Oct 1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?SELL97.5¢1Oct 1
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?SELL97.4¢10.287Oct 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on October 1?SELL98.0¢20.87Oct 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on October 1?SELL98.0¢29.122Oct 1
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?SELL98.7¢50Oct 1
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 35% and 40%?SELL98.9¢100Oct 1
Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?SELL97.4¢6.324Sep 30
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?SELL99.3¢100Sep 30
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?SELL98.9¢100Sep 30

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%57%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing48.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.68
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.4%
Win Consistency67.9%
Profit Factor1.27
Drawdown Resilience1.02
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.02
Weekly Sharpe est.0.78
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,9603d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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