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0x74d6e2c041e4A5339f2c8E26a55188bC55651d3D-1723010980775

0x74d6e2...651d3d
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
60.0%
Total P&L
-$279
Trade Count
57
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Sortino Ratio
0.02
Max Drawdown
23.4%
ROI
-3.0%
Profit Factor
0.75
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY15.0¢1,097.133Mar 5
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?SELL15.0¢459.86Mar 5
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?SELL15.0¢635.94Mar 5
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?SELL15.0¢1.38Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL90.8¢1,200Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY91.6¢200Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY91.8¢200Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL91.9¢277.05Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY91.5¢180Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY91.5¢20Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY91.2¢43.18Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY91.2¢56.818Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1PM ETBUY50.0¢207.16Jan 25
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7AM ETBUY50.7¢185.539Jan 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3AM ETBUY51.0¢419.353Jan 4
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5PM ETBUY50.9¢410.706Dec 25
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY50.3¢136.813Dec 10
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY85.0¢109.918Nov 4
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4PM ETBUY51.0¢126.765Oct 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 8PM ETBUY52.2¢1,264.926Oct 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%24%50–70%70–80%80–90%57%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.80
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.8%
Win Consistency36.7%
Profit Factor0.85
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity27 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9641d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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