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0x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-1763836802268

0x75003d...aa567f
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
25.1%
Total P&L
-$661
Trade Count
3,276
Sharpe Ratio
0.53
Sortino Ratio
13.25
Max Drawdown
16084.2%
ROI
-3.8%
Profit Factor
0.77
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mariano win at Hustler Casino on Friday?SELL40.0¢1.11Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY44.7¢19.77Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY44.7¢13.23Mar 5
Will Trump say "IQ" this week? (March 8)SELL73.0¢14.73Mar 5
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)SELL31.0¢12Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY44.7¢19Mar 5
Will Trump post "Never let you down" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)SELL1.7¢72Mar 5
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?BUY1.9¢6.25Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY44.4¢13.19Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY44.4¢6Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY44.4¢22Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY44.3¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.3¢20Mar 5
Will Trump post "Never let you down" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)SELL2.3¢97Mar 5
Will Trump post "Never let you down" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)BUY4.1¢65.366Mar 5
Will Trump say "IQ" this week? (March 8)SELL77.0¢5.455Mar 5
Will Trump say "Coward" in March?BUY63.0¢9.206Mar 5
Will Trump say "Data Center" in March?SELL0.9¢5.91Mar 5
Will Trump post "Never let you down" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)BUY1.8¢305.183Mar 5
Will Ron Johnson vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?BUY54.8¢33.44Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%50%< 10%16%10–20%11%20–30%12%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.5%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity3,276 trades · 80 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,55021d profit56d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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