0x765fa4...d51508

0x765fa4...d51508
Smart Score
63
Win Rate
66.9%
Total P&L
+$25.3K
Trade Count
997
Sharpe Ratio
1.07
Sortino Ratio
10.80
Max Drawdown
69.8%
ROI
34.3%
Profit Factor
2.42
Kelly Fraction
0.393
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
062.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?BUY19.9¢289.13Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY60.0¢4.175Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY60.0¢4Mar 4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?SELL37.0¢102.18Mar 4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?SELL37.0¢810.811Mar 4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY21.0¢1,186.9Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY11.0¢2,256.9Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY11.0¢7Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY11.0¢2Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY59.9¢830.83Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY33.9¢830.83Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY34.0¢733.08Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY59.0¢844.91Mar 4
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY14.0¢65.36Mar 4
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY14.0¢186.43Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY54.0¢69.662Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY55.0¢91.164Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY49.7¢24.096Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY60.0¢129Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY60.0¢25Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%32%10–20%13%20–30%5%30–50%10%50–70%6%70–80%9%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active62.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)56.9%
Win Consistency58.8%
Profit Factor1.63
Drawdown Resilience1.31
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.31
Weekly Sharpe est.1.00
Trading Activity997 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$37,8062d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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