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0x769612...85e9fc

0x769612...85e9fc
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
65.6%
Total P&L
-$139
Trade Count
335
Sharpe Ratio
-0.57
Sortino Ratio
-0.51
Max Drawdown
2324.3%
ROI
-6.6%
Profit Factor
0.73
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY97.5¢7.497Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY97.5¢6.133Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY97.5¢6.133Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL95.9¢0.27Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL95.9¢5Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL95.7¢5Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL95.7¢5Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL95.7¢5Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY90.0¢12.056Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY90.0¢6.611Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY90.0¢6.611Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢46.56Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY37.0¢46.568Feb 23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL88.0¢1.61Feb 22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.2¢6.46Feb 22
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL96.7¢1.61Feb 22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.8¢3.23Feb 22
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL11.0¢1.61Feb 22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.8¢1.61Feb 22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.8¢1.61Feb 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%8%10–20%6%20–30%5%30–50%6%50–70%14%70–80%5%80–90%57%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.4%
Win Consistency39.8%
Profit Factor0.10
Drawdown Resilience0.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.06
Trading Activity335 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$99313d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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