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0x771453056bC4a24727c1152e679991CFFf110720-1767758733197

0x771453...110720
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
32.4%
Total P&L
+$721
Trade Count
298
Sharpe Ratio
0.89
Sortino Ratio
11.26
Max Drawdown
645.2%
ROI
10.7%
Profit Factor
2.08
Kelly Fraction
0.168
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL15.1¢333.84Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY48.2¢83.015Mar 5
Will Iran strike Yemen in March?BUY5.4¢186.855Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY20.0¢200Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL3.0¢333.83Mar 5
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?BUY10.0¢500Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL18.0¢83.34Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY1.5¢667.667Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL34.5¢59.38Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL50.0¢188.61Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL50.0¢195.36Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL50.0¢281.38Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL2.1¢566.66Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY3.0¢566.667Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY66.0¢100Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?SELL3.9¢1,335.3Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY2.0¢200Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY6.0¢34.79Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY6.0¢41.44Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY6.0¢23.77Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%30%< 10%19%10–20%13%20–30%19%30–50%16%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.2%
Win Consistency44.3%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.65
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity298 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9412d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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