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0x77446a...7023f2

0x77446a...7023f2
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
39.3%
Total P&L
+$5.7K
Trade Count
2,933
Sharpe Ratio
0.64
Sortino Ratio
51.48
Max Drawdown
300.7%
ROI
19.2%
Profit Factor
4.50
Kelly Fraction
0.306
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
042.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢2.37Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.09Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.1Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.1Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.1Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL81.0¢0.1Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL85.0¢0.61Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?SELL0.6¢41.02Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY80.0¢1.338Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY80.0¢1.55Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL79.0¢2Mar 4
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?BUY40.0¢5Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?BUY65.0¢2.523Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL4.8¢25.24Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL4.0¢1.32Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL4.3¢0.1Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY3.9¢26.667Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.8¢1.072Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.8¢1.072Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.8¢1.122Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%16%10–20%9%20–30%10%30–50%14%50–70%6%70–80%11%80–90%8%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.33
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.5%
Win Consistency56.2%
Profit Factor1.10
Drawdown Resilience0.89
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity2,933 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,87022d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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