0x77a9a7...576bb5

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.9%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

457

Sharpe Ratio

-0.84

Sortino Ratio

-1.26

Max Drawdown

7143.6%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

2.34

Kelly Fraction

0.498

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	5.126	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	8.422	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	7.183	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	17.465	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	2.227	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	2.041	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	2.244	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	2.244	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	99.4¢	1.157	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	77.0¢	2.61	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	78.0¢	1.795	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	78.0¢	25.641	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?	BUY	98.8¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	99.9¢	17.997	Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	99.9¢	1.311	Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	99.8¢	14.93	Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	99.8¢	9.018	Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	99.9¢	6.026	Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	99.8¢	12.345	Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	99.8¢	4.108	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.1%

Win Consistency47.3%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity457 trades · 40 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2306d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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