0x77e710...af46de

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.0%

Total P&L

+$335

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.28

Max Drawdown

296.2%

ROI

15.2%

Profit Factor

1.96

Kelly Fraction

0.171

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	13.514	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?	BUY	50.4¢	107.31	Nov 29
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?	BUY	32.0¢	9.688	Jun 23
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?	BUY	86.0¢	3.605	Jun 23
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	BUY	86.0¢	3.605	Jun 23
US forces in Iran before August?	BUY	12.0¢	25.833	Jun 23
US military action against Iran before July?	BUY	55.6¢	26.978	Jun 17
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Jan 19
Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Jan 19
Was Trump hacked?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Jan 19
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?	BUY	13.0¢	38.462	Jan 19
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?	BUY	92.0¢	85.87	Dec 5
Will $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?	BUY	54.0¢	92.593	Dec 5
South Korean President impeached in 2024?	BUY	24.0¢	208.333	Dec 4
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	BUY	1.0¢	10,000	Dec 3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	SELL	0.9¢	16,000	Dec 3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	SELL	0.9¢	15,000	Dec 3
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	BUY	1.1¢	17,836.077	Dec 2
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	BUY	0.8¢	12,500	Dec 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.3%

Win Consistency25.0%

Profit Factor0.44

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity8 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$920d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue