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0x77Fa7e303F7a8017016A8388EF7ebA40a4a31A63-1764354685885

0x77fa7e...a31a63
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
32.8%
Total P&L
+$327
Trade Count
1,200
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
78.01
Max Drawdown
1569.0%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
3.48
Kelly Fraction
0.234
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL40.0¢100Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY38.0¢100Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL44.0¢100Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY45.0¢100Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY84.0¢100Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY84.0¢31.25Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY84.0¢51.5Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?SELL99.8¢454.81Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?BUY99.8¢454.82Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?SELL98.9¢58.82Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?BUY98.3¢58.824Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?SELL98.6¢460Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?BUY98.4¢460Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?SELL98.6¢130.45Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?SELL98.6¢293.93Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?BUY98.4¢304.45Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?SELL98.7¢25.623Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?BUY98.4¢145.55Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?SELL98.5¢87.05Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?SELL98.5¢101.523Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%12%10–20%19%20–30%15%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%80–90%14%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.1%
Win Consistency35.6%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity1,200 trades · 50 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$4320d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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