0x7863b7...9e96bd

Smart Score

Win Rate

7.1%

Total P&L

-$109

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

7.46

Sortino Ratio

1196.06

Max Drawdown

1.8%

ROI

-58.7%

Profit Factor

0.11

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	10,286.245	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	2.9¢	233.423	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	BUY	7.0¢	285.714	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	BUY	5.0¢	400	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	294.853	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	BUY	19.9¢	15.075	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	796.593	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	882.117	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.4¢	3,200	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BUY	28.0¢	35.714	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	BUY	0.4¢	224.646	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	BUY	1.9¢	315.789	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	BUY	10.0¢	50	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	BUY	28.0¢	17.821	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.6¢	1,723.067	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.7%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor1.48

Drawdown Resilience1.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue