0x78830e609e69E5B47Cc5cd35A7C0852335aDBa5A-1771318366224

0x78830e...adba5a

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.4%

Total P&L

+$38

Trade Count

109

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.25

Max Drawdown

4661.3%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

89.18

Kelly Fraction

0.627

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	5.952	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	90.6¢	5.5	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	90.8¢	5.507	Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	5.2	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	5.208	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	77.2¢	5.1	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	5.102	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.4¢	6.34	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	8.024	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	6.342	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	7.16	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	7.15	Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	7.447	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	5.102	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7PM ET	BUY	95.8¢	7.307	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Mar 3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.6¢	1.04	Mar 3
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	88.9¢	7.82	Mar 3
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	10.46	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.9%

Win Consistency39.0%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity109 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$1343d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue