0x78b0FBDec5f91592C7F41FaC617f955EFEE02156-1763039345274

0x78b0fb...e02156

Smart Score

Win Rate

27.6%

Total P&L

-$11

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

72.0%

ROI

-14.6%

Profit Factor

0.33

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	4.25	Mar 5
Celonis IPO before 2027?	SELL	77.0¢	1.38	Feb 9
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	SELL	4.5¢	2.22	Jan 21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Jan 19
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?	SELL	3.0¢	33.22	Jan 14
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Jan 13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	47.0¢	4.255	Jan 13
Celonis IPO before 2027?	BUY	72.0¢	1.389	Jan 7
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?	SELL	79.0¢	1.72	Jan 5
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	3.333	Jan 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	BUY	5.5¢	18.182	Jan 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Jan 5
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?	BUY	58.0¢	1.724	Dec 29
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Dec 9
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	SELL	53.0¢	2.43	Dec 9
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?	BUY	3.0¢	33.226	Dec 7
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?	SELL	59.0¢	2.7	Dec 7
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	BUY	26.0¢	3.846	Dec 6
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	BUY	41.0¢	2.439	Dec 6
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?	BUY	34.7¢	2.882	Dec 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.1%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity46 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$169d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue