0x791c69...76b3f7

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.78

Sortino Ratio

14.53

Max Drawdown

75.3%

ROI

2.0%

Profit Factor

1.15

Kelly Fraction

0.081

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	26.92	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	83.0¢	4.21	Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	1.5¢	700	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	1.0¢	477.91	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.6¢	83.61	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.6¢	266.39	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	2.1¢	166.66	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	4.72	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	2.2¢	52.06	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	2.2¢	1.022	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	2.2¢	106	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	2.3¢	152.17	Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	0.7¢	350	Mar 3
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	0.3¢	700	Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	0.1¢	350	Mar 2
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.3¢	350	Mar 2
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.3¢	350	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	SELL	91.2¢	23.39	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	48.0¢	10.41	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	75.0¢	6.49	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.5%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor1.47

Drawdown Resilience1.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity28 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$172d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue