0x79557c...d96c53

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.8%

Total P&L

+$132

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.87

Sortino Ratio

-0.87

Max Drawdown

3737.5%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2.09

Kelly Fraction

0.239

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	2,076.31	Mar 4
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	2,076.31	Mar 4
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,429.55	Mar 4
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,429.55	Mar 4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	2,071.32	Mar 3
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	2,071.32	Mar 3
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.6¢	2,059.05	Mar 2
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	2,059.05	Mar 2
Blue Jackets vs. Rangers	BUY	55.0¢	128.63	Mar 1
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	2,001.82	Mar 1
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	2,001.82	Mar 1
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.1¢	2,023.52	Feb 28
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.2¢	2,023.52	Feb 28
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	1,997.75	Feb 28
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	1,997.75	Feb 27
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.4¢	1,726.48	Feb 27
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.5¢	1,726.48	Feb 27
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	2,013.31	Feb 26
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	2,013.31	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	43.777	Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.9%

Win Consistency27.1%

Profit Factor0.17

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity85 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$8981d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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