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0x798c2c...bbeec7

0x798c2c...bbeec7
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
25.0%
Total P&L
-$2
Trade Count
38
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Sortino Ratio
-0.15
Max Drawdown
58.0%
ROI
-3.1%
Profit Factor
0.84
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL98.5¢1.32Mar 5
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY97.7¢1.31Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?BUY99.7¢1.193Mar 5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.3¢1.21Mar 5
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY98.6¢1.329Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?BUY99.5¢1.296Mar 5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY94.8¢1.329Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢1.132Mar 5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.4¢1.22Mar 5
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2¢1,110Mar 4
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3¢1,110Mar 4
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.1¢1.15Mar 1
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.2¢1.151Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL99.5¢1.1Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY99.7¢1.103Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL97.3¢1.14Mar 1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.5¢1.149Mar 1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.5¢1.43Mar 1
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.6¢1.43Mar 1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.6¢1.35Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%8%20–30%4%30–50%19%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%58%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.5%
Win Consistency26.9%
Profit Factor0.53
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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