0x7999a0...13ee7e

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.0%

Total P&L

+$163

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

1.28

Max Drawdown

250.5%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.02

Kelly Fraction

0.005

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?	BUY	25.0¢	678.09	Jul 13
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?	SELL	43.0¢	440.91	Jul 8
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?	BUY	32.3¢	440.911	Jul 8
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?	BUY	9.0¢	112.222	Jul 5
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?	SELL	5.7¢	177.22	Jul 5
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?	BUY	3.6¢	177.222	Jul 4
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11?	SELL	2.8¢	227.62	Jul 4
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11?	BUY	3.4¢	227.629	Jul 4
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?	SELL	0.6¢	1,329.78	Jul 4
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?	BUY	13.1¢	328.984	Jul 4
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?	BUY	8.0¢	50	Jul 4
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?	BUY	8.0¢	50	Jul 4
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?	BUY	8.0¢	39.99	Jul 4
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?	BUY	8.0¢	625.02	Jul 4
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?	BUY	8.0¢	235.79	Jul 4
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?	BUY	8.4¢	177.821	Jul 1
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?	SELL	6.0¢	248.07	Jul 1
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?	BUY	13.6¢	248.071	Jul 1
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?	SELL	7.6¢	318.96	Jul 1
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?	SELL	3.0¢	319.83	Jul 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%

Win Consistency36.5%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity195 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$9227d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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