0x79b350...7e132c

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.4%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

110

Sharpe Ratio

0.40

Sortino Ratio

0.83

Max Drawdown

534.0%

ROI

2.6%

Profit Factor

1.26

Kelly Fraction

0.108

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.8¢	1.044	Mar 5
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	1.205	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	95.9¢	2.075	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	98.9¢	2.01	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	2.011	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	90.0¢	1.222	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.918	Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	BUY	91.0¢	1.099	Mar 3
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?	SELL	99.2¢	1.06	Mar 3
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	78.0¢	1.35	Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	38.46	Mar 3
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	7.27	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	1.26	Feb 26
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	SELL	71.0¢	1.61	Feb 25
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	SELL	50.0¢	2.38	Feb 25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	94.4¢	1.45	Feb 25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	1.91	Feb 25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	SELL	85.0¢	2.4	Feb 25
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	SELL	74.0¢	2.98	Feb 20

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.4%

Win Consistency48.5%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.40

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity110 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$385d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue