0x7a2d08...9e77ce

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.6%

Total P&L

+$2.2K

Trade Count

1,543

Sharpe Ratio

2.15

Sortino Ratio

91.16

Max Drawdown

205.5%

ROI

77.4%

Profit Factor

6.82

Kelly Fraction

0.390

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

052.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	1.783	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	1.783	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	1.845	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	4.02	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.09	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.09	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.1	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.1	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.14	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	44.0¢	2.432	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.1¢	2.01	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.6¢	0.12	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.1¢	0.1	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.1¢	0.2	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	71.6¢	2.43	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	43.0¢	3.42	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	44.0¢	1.51	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	36.0¢	0.1	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	36.0¢	0.1	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	41.0¢	2.61	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing52.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.88

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.7%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor1.36

Drawdown Resilience1.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.84

Trading Activity1,543 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$7093d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue