0x7a30bc...8a37a6

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.4%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

1,698

Sharpe Ratio

0.57

Sortino Ratio

50.01

Max Drawdown

2018.8%

ROI

8.8%

Profit Factor

1.43

Kelly Fraction

0.065

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	111.111	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	13.7¢	72.984	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	15.8¢	63.291	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	14.5¢	68.74	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 8?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 7?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 6?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 6?	BUY	1.3¢	77.964	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	12.7¢	39.37	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?	SELL	99.6¢	86.09	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?	BUY	1.5¢	10.13	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 7?	BUY	2.3¢	44	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?	BUY	1.2¢	83.333	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 7?	BUY	1.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 6?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	BUY	4.1¢	121.951	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%

Win Consistency54.0%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity1,698 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,67913d profit48d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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