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0x7a7353...412cc5

0x7a7353...412cc5
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
54.7%
Total P&L
-$29.4K
Trade Count
374
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Sortino Ratio
1.20
Max Drawdown
143.1%
ROI
-4.4%
Profit Factor
0.79
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?SELL47.0¢3,046.75May 8
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?SELL48.0¢958.25May 8
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before May?SELL67.3¢353Apr 27
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY11.0¢5Apr 27
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY11.0¢5Apr 27
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY11.0¢5Apr 27
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY11.0¢5Apr 27
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY8.0¢422Apr 24
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY6.0¢10Apr 24
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY6.0¢100Apr 24
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY7.0¢20Apr 23
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY8.0¢20Apr 23
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?BUY8.0¢20Apr 23
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY55.0¢4,000Apr 23
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?SELL1.7¢2,450Apr 21
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?SELL52.0¢50Apr 20
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?SELL52.0¢50Apr 20
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?SELL52.0¢50Apr 20
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?BUY50.0¢4,000Apr 20
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?BUY54.0¢237.04Apr 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%5%10–20%16%20–30%15%30–50%19%50–70%5%70–80%21%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.3%
Win Consistency44.6%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity67 trades · 17 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$22,5375d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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