0x7aaa5a...004ebe

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.7%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.76

Sortino Ratio

4.80

Max Drawdown

30.4%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

1475.25

Kelly Fraction

0.956

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

073.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	5.08	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	5.075	Feb 8
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BUY	99.6¢	5.08	Jan 8
ETH flipped in 2025?	BUY	99.4¢	5.091	Dec 6
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?	BUY	99.9¢	5.065	Nov 28
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?	BUY	99.0¢	5.111	Oct 16
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?	BUY	99.5¢	5.085	Sep 25
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?	BUY	99.4¢	81.398	Jul 9
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.5¢	5.228	Jun 17
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?	BUY	98.0¢	41.602	Jun 12
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?	BUY	99.7¢	48.004	May 29
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in April?	BUY	99.9¢	57.977	Apr 20
PartyDAO airdrop in Q1 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	6.255	Mar 26
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?	BUY	99.5¢	26.844	Mar 15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?	BUY	98.7¢	20.993	Mar 11
Will Ethereum hit $5000 by February 28 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	44.254	Feb 18
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	48.597	Feb 13
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.6¢	5.71	Jan 25
US inauguration on January 20?	BUY	98.9¢	5.359	Jan 18
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	BUY	99.9¢	6.657	Dec 31

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active73.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.06

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)67.3%

Win Consistency78.3%

Profit Factor1.92

Drawdown Resilience1.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.55

Weekly Sharpe est.1.18

Trading Activity12 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$2680d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue