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0x7AcDae71c7413586E289700BfEED866eE3a11086-1768418567426

0x7acdae...a11086
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
21.7%
Total P&L
+$220
Trade Count
527
Sharpe Ratio
2.31
Sortino Ratio
14.77
Max Drawdown
57.7%
ROI
1.5%
Profit Factor
1.20
Kelly Fraction
0.037
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?SELL10.7¢820.19Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY0.9¢560.484Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY1.4¢71.429Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY1.5¢66.667Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY1.6¢62.5Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY4.4¢113.636Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY1.4¢70.031Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY1.5¢66.667Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY1.5¢67.333Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY1.8¢56.126Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY14.0¢35.764Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY13.9¢107.914Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY16.0¢94Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY16.5¢6.061Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY15.9¢31.447Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY0.8¢125Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY6.0¢50Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY14.9¢67.114Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY14.4¢34.837Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY14.0¢71.466Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%75%< 10%19%10–20%4%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.3%
Win Consistency34.8%
Profit Factor1.29
Drawdown Resilience1.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.80
Trading Activity527 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6182d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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