0x7acff9...cef67b

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.4%

Total P&L

-$30.2K

Trade Count

1,169

Sharpe Ratio

-0.30

Sortino Ratio

-0.25

Max Drawdown

28362.9%

ROI

-10.7%

Profit Factor

0.25

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	91.6¢	222.991	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	62.7¢	326.1	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	326.104	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	302.95	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	89.8¢	302.95	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	171.71	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	43.47	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	6.59	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	14.44	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.5¢	40	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	86.4¢	276.217	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	238.8	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	238.8	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.7¢	215.57	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	215.571	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	3.1¢	6,640.78	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	91.7¢	6,640.787	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	6,151.9	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	BUY	68.0¢	1.912	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	2,950.75	Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency44.2%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity742 trades · 91 active days

P&L Calendar

$70,89011d profit69d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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