0x7b60a2...6df259

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.0%

Total P&L

-$10.0K

Trade Count

682

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.17

Max Drawdown

8236.4%

ROI

-1.9%

Profit Factor

0.84

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	2.5¢	2,289.87	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	4.1¢	12,080.217	Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	70.3¢	2,846.947	Mar 5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	1.88	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	111.111	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	609.97	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	222.222	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	1,500	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	125	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	200	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	10.5	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	10	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	22.222	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	2,040	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	95.5¢	51.58	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	94.4¢	3,397.25	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	94.4¢	2,602.75	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	94.3¢	8,800	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	93.4¢	5,000	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	94.1¢	1,600	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.5%

Win Consistency64.8%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity530 trades · 81 active days

P&L Calendar

$92,26232d profit49d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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