0x7b6f30...a4ec7b

0x7b6f30...a4ec7b
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
15.8%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
87
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.04
Max Drawdown
6.8%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.09
Kelly Fraction
0.013
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL94.8¢1.3Mar 5
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY95.0¢1.305Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.2¢1.27Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.3¢1.261Mar 5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.4¢1.23Mar 5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.5¢1.239Mar 5
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.5¢1.1Mar 5
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.6¢1.104Mar 5
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.5¢1.28Mar 5
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.6¢1.285Mar 5
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?SELL99.4¢1.26Mar 5
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?BUY99.6¢1.265Mar 5
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL99.7¢1.11Mar 5
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY99.8¢1.112Mar 5
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?SELL0.2¢1,063.33Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?BUY0.3¢1,063.333Mar 4
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.6¢1.15Mar 3
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL98.2¢1.24Mar 3
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢1.41Mar 3
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL99.3¢1.41Mar 3
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%8%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%77%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.1%
Win Consistency39.5%
Profit Factor0.77
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity74 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$11d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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