0x7BF1Cc29633C67e36018e8A16CeB60C985fCac4E-1770983859941

0x7bf1cc...fcac4e

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.0%

Total P&L

+$1.4K

Trade Count

141

Sharpe Ratio

1.29

Sortino Ratio

3.97

Max Drawdown

36.7%

ROI

17.8%

Profit Factor

4.40

Kelly Fraction

0.232

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

060.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	19.3¢	31.088	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	18.3¢	164.016	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	28.3¢	303.37	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	25.6¢	117.305	Mar 4
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?	BUY	4.5¢	444.444	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	26.9¢	186.074	Mar 4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	38.0¢	131.579	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	95.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	51.8¢	100	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	48.0¢	105.39	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	30.3¢	66.007	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	29.2¢	68.43	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	SELL	18.0¢	238.09	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	29.2¢	170.956	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	BUY	21.0¢	238.095	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	SELL	81.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	1.4¢	274.1	Mar 4
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	1.6¢	250	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	SELL	64.0¢	45.36	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	SELL	64.0¢	81.78	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active60.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)55.1%

Win Consistency51.8%

Profit Factor1.58

Drawdown Resilience1.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.97

Trading Activity141 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1,10112d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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