0x7d2489...dda636

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.6%

Total P&L

-$42

Trade Count

260

Sharpe Ratio

-0.72

Sortino Ratio

-0.47

Max Drawdown

54167.8%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.78

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BUY	99.9¢	32.712	Mar 5
Will Hillary say "FBI" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	98.7¢	19	Mar 5
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	20	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.8¢	51	Mar 4
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	BUY	99.8¢	20.77	Mar 4
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	13.1	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	99.6¢	22	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	99.4¢	15.9	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	8	Mar 4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	162	Mar 2
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	96.8¢	168	Mar 2
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	96.4¢	168	Mar 2
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	79.26	Mar 1
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	20.66	Mar 1
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	61.08	Mar 1
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100.95	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.2¢	215	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	50	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	98.3¢	45	Feb 27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	49.96	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.1%

Win Consistency52.2%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity260 trades · 73 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,12221d profit50d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue