0x7d80ad...286e0d

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.0%

Total P&L

+$458

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.50

Sortino Ratio

-0.49

Max Drawdown

159.5%

ROI

9.6%

Profit Factor

6.72

Kelly Fraction

0.170

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?	BUY	64.0¢	1,500	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down on January 9?	BUY	44.0¢	22.727	Jan 8
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	BUY	54.3¢	17.326	Nov 6
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	0.7¢	500	Oct 21
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	504.55	Oct 21
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	504.55	Oct 20
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	0.8¢	500	Oct 20
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	0.5¢	485.71	Oct 20
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	SELL	99.2¢	496.88	Oct 20
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	485.714	Oct 18
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	99.5¢	496.884	Oct 18
Commanders vs. Falcons	BUY	47.0¢	17.021	Sep 27
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?	BUY	3.6¢	41.667	Aug 21
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	1.2¢	423.07	Jul 30
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	444.55	Jul 30
Ethereum Up or Down on July 29?	BUY	52.0¢	45.192	Jul 29
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	1.3¢	423.077	Jul 29
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	444.556	Jul 29
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	1.3¢	423.07	Jul 29
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	415.48	Jul 29

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.8%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.37

Drawdown Resilience0.30

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30

Weekly Sharpe est.0.23

Trading Activity23 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0422d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue