0x7e22a8...ecbaef

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.3%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

165

Sharpe Ratio

0.44

Sortino Ratio

5.35

Max Drawdown

1563.9%

ROI

-0.4%

Profit Factor

0.96

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	97.5¢	2.04	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	96.9¢	2.06	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	96.7¢	2.06	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	95.9¢	2.09	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	97.2¢	2.06	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	95.0¢	2.11	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	2.35	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	1.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	SELL	80.0¢	4.15	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?	SELL	91.0¢	2.16	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	80.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?	BUY	92.0¢	2.17	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?	SELL	89.5¢	5.92	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	5.28	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	1.48	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	1.48	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	1.48	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	1.48	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	5.17	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.0%

Win Consistency47.4%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity165 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$626d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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