0x7e3fb0...f5c3db

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.2%

Total P&L

+$96

Trade Count

249

Sharpe Ratio

0.63

Sortino Ratio

2.13

Max Drawdown

8617.9%

ROI

1.1%

Profit Factor

1.17

Kelly Fraction

0.079

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	87.0¢	50	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	71.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	SELL	99.7¢	30	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	54.0¢	90	Mar 4
Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	89.0¢	100	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	68.0¢	10	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	96.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	85.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?	SELL	96.2¢	24	Mar 4
Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	85.3¢	13.57	Mar 4
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	99.4¢	13.8	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?	BUY	84.0¢	24	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?	SELL	98.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?	BUY	59.0¢	10	Mar 3
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	44.0¢	5	Mar 3
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	42.0¢	8.8	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?	SELL	92.0¢	18	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?	BUY	63.0¢	18	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	83.0¢	37	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.93

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.4%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor0.44

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity249 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,02616d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue