0x7f4faa...327fd1

0x7f4faa...327fd1
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
80.6%
Total P&L
+$248
Trade Count
50
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.06
Max Drawdown
6500.0%
ROI
5.1%
Profit Factor
14.76
Kelly Fraction
0.752
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
037/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL99.8¢19Mar 4
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY99.9¢19Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?BUY99.9¢23Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY3.8¢26.316Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY11.5¢43.362Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 6?BUY99.7¢210.632Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETBUY53.0¢3.774Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY14.9¢6.711Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?SELL79.0¢29.64Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY26.0¢3.846Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.8¢36Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?BUY99.9¢897Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?BUY13.5¢59.286Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETBUY62.0¢1.613Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 27?SELL99.5¢8.47Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 27?SELL99.5¢73.819Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 27?SELL99.5¢1.46Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 27?SELL99.5¢1.36Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 27?SELL99.5¢26Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?BUY49.0¢2.041Feb 27
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%9%10–20%3%20–30%3%30–50%6%50–70%3%70–80%6%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.04
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.7%
Win Consistency45.2%
Profit Factor0.96
Drawdown Resilience0.78
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity41 trades · 6 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,0121d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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