0x7f5ea7...b58264

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.0%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

373

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

11.46

Max Drawdown

17781.7%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

1.25

Kelly Fraction

0.161

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	91.0¢	5.495	Mar 4
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?	BUY	98.8¢	35.425	Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	97.1¢	20	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	67.3¢	5	Mar 4
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	95.6¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	97.0¢	5	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	98.6¢	20	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	94.8¢	20	Mar 3
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	SELL	97.0¢	50	Mar 2
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	BUY	92.0¢	2.174	Mar 2
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	50	Mar 2
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	SELL	92.0¢	123	Mar 2
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	30	Mar 1
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	50	Mar 1
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	30	Mar 1
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	13	Mar 1
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	84.0¢	1.19	Feb 27
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	2.469	Feb 26
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?	SELL	99.2¢	2.22	Feb 26
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	2.778	Feb 21

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.2%

Win Consistency28.2%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity373 trades · 98 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2199d profit89d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue