Accrue
Log inGet Access

0x7Fd00ef461CEC1BBD1aCd4060dC0eF5eedC030f4-1762135261439

0x7fd00e...c030f4
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
42.7%
Total P&L
+$1.6K
Trade Count
1,428
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Sortino Ratio
21.92
Max Drawdown
2679.7%
ROI
41.5%
Profit Factor
4.06
Kelly Fraction
0.322
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY78.0¢1.282Mar 5
Will Jensen Huang say "FSD" or "Full Self-Driving" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?BUY83.0¢1.205Mar 5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY84.0¢1.19Mar 5
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?BUY71.0¢1.408Mar 5
MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY81.0¢1.235Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY79.0¢2.532Mar 5
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL81.0¢2.85Mar 5
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?SELL52.0¢6.55Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY4.2¢28.095Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY10.0¢11.9Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY80.2¢1.496Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL0.1¢50Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?SELL98.5¢1.07Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL0.1¢44.83Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY2.0¢50Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY78.0¢3.846Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL94.3¢1.22Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL84.0¢1.44Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢2Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.6¢1.61Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%9%10–20%6%20–30%5%30–50%7%50–70%6%70–80%9%80–90%16%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%
Win Consistency48.3%
Profit Factor1.03
Drawdown Resilience0.83
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83
Weekly Sharpe est.0.63
Trading Activity1,428 trades · 120 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$66937d profit79d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics