0x7fe105...c85d8b

Smart Score

Win Rate

14.3%

Total P&L

-$180

Trade Count

124

Sharpe Ratio

0.24

Sortino Ratio

41.67

Max Drawdown

102.5%

ROI

-3.5%

Profit Factor

0.93

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	28.8¢	219.831	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5AM ET	SELL	99.2¢	63.78	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	63.78	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	SELL	94.0¢	33.93	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	46.0¢	33.935	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	15.62	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET	BUY	48.0¢	15.625	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?	SELL	2.1¢	350.03	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	21.96	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	2.9¢	350.034	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12PM ET	BUY	45.0¢	21.067	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	3.7¢	159.86	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3PM ET	BUY	41.7¢	242.016	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2PM ET	BUY	49.1¢	203.76	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ET	BUY	57.0¢	57.895	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ET	BUY	47.0¢	35	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET	BUY	29.0¢	62.069	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	268.68	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?	BUY	16.0¢	268.688	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 2?	BUY	6.6¢	833.182	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.4%

Win Consistency56.6%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity124 trades · 63 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2165d profit55d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue