0x7fe68c...f6b39e

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.2%

Total P&L

+$55.4K

Trade Count

989

Sharpe Ratio

-0.37

Sortino Ratio

-0.33

Max Drawdown

546.6%

ROI

12.9%

Profit Factor

3.05

Kelly Fraction

0.513

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.7¢	1,019.59	Mar 1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.8¢	970	Mar 1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.8¢	30	Mar 1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	183.78	Mar 1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	11.44	Mar 1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	128.81	Mar 1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	77.49	Mar 1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	114.286	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	74.061	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	114.286	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	26.26	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	50	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.4¢	813.66	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.3¢	1,164.12	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.3¢	35.88	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.4¢	82.554	Feb 28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.4¢	103.78	Feb 28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	3,700	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	95.8¢	2,000	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	1.2¢	2,430	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.3%

Win Consistency65.8%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity989 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$99,5693d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue