0x809c32...0e4861

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.9%

Total P&L

+$1.8K

Trade Count

3,966

Sharpe Ratio

0.61

Sortino Ratio

8.41

Max Drawdown

459.7%

ROI

10.5%

Profit Factor

1.45

Kelly Fraction

0.230

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?	BUY	91.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	83.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	83.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	83.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on March 6?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	84.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?	BUY	97.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?	BUY	81.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?	BUY	95.5¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	91.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	87.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	84.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	82.6¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	BUY	49.2¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	88.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	88.0¢	5	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.4%

Win Consistency44.9%

Profit Factor0.93

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity3,966 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$10,4601d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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