0x81de28...ac6f1f

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.0%

Total P&L

+$2.0K

Trade Count

187

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.40

Max Drawdown

3547.5%

ROI

15.7%

Profit Factor

1.84

Kelly Fraction

0.329

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)	BUY	30.0¢	100	Dec 15
Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)	BUY	31.0¢	300	Dec 15
Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)	BUY	24.0¢	200	Dec 15
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	BUY	78.0¢	81.65	Dec 13
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?	BUY	9.0¢	600	Oct 1
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?	BUY	8.0¢	120	Oct 1
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?	BUY	40.0¢	16.667	Oct 1
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?	BUY	40.0¢	0.933	Oct 1
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?	BUY	50.0¢	22.35	Oct 1
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?	BUY	47.2¢	230.46	Oct 1
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?	SELL	90.0¢	1.111	Sep 29
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?	SELL	52.0¢	334.67	Sep 29
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?	BUY	79.0¢	5.27	Sep 29
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?	BUY	78.0¢	535.05	Sep 29
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?	BUY	74.3¢	244	Sep 29
Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?	BUY	63.2¢	421.19	Sep 29
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?	BUY	50.0¢	334.67	Sep 29
Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?	BUY	39.0¢	3.279	Sep 25
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during events with Turkish president on September 25?	SELL	38.0¢	205	Sep 25
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Turkish president on September 25?	SELL	53.0¢	145.14	Sep 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.4%

Win Consistency58.0%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity187 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,4183d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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