0x838FB5ab61b12B7BfEDb2cfa77Bf0EBebdb076Bd-1765546752625

0x838fb5...b076bd

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.20

Sortino Ratio

-1.10

Max Drawdown

100013.9%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

84.12

Kelly Fraction

0.974

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.6¢	21.857	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.85	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.84	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.83	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	10.822	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.801	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.79	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.781	Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.9¢	10.771	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.76	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 21?	BUY	97.6¢	10.746	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on February 21?	BUY	99.8¢	10.491	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.47	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.46	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.45	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.44	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.43	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.42	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.41	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.39	Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.1%

Win Consistency16.7%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity72 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$7550d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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