0x83b28f...0ebe4f

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.3%

Total P&L

-$79

Trade Count

123

Sharpe Ratio

0.33

Sortino Ratio

13.41

Max Drawdown

24285.1%

ROI

-13.4%

Profit Factor

0.31

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	SELL	45.0¢	2.7	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	SELL	59.0¢	1.66	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 4
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?	SELL	0.5¢	144.57	Mar 3
XRP Up or Down on March 3?	SELL	0.2¢	100	Mar 3
XRP Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	1.0¢	100	Mar 3
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	SELL	34.0¢	3.41	Mar 2
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	BUY	29.0¢	3.448	Mar 2
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	144.576	Mar 2
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	1.3¢	102.49	Mar 2
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	2.1¢	66.66	Mar 2
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	SELL	3.2¢	33.85	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	SELL	0.5¢	14.08	Mar 2
Anthropic CEO arrested?	SELL	4.7¢	18.45	Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	BUY	15.0¢	13.933	Mar 1
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.1¢	55.55	Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 1
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	1.0¢	102.5	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.9%

Win Consistency29.6%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity123 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1591d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue