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0x8485a2...279167

0x8485a2...279167
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
33.3%
Total P&L
+$2.9K
Trade Count
24
Sharpe Ratio
0.54
Sortino Ratio
2.95
Max Drawdown
220.1%
ROI
63.1%
Profit Factor
74.90
Kelly Fraction
0.329
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 3?BUY25.0¢3,904Mar 3
XRP Up or Down on January 4?BUY5.1¢35.585Jan 4
Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?BUY23.0¢17.391Nov 4
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.6¢491.43Oct 17
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢488.91Oct 17
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.7¢491.429Oct 17
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢488.911Oct 17
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.6¢487.14Oct 17
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?SELL99.3¢485.91Oct 17
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.7¢487.143Oct 16
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?BUY99.4¢485.915Oct 16
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?BUY58.0¢15.897Oct 15
Vikings vs. SteelersBUY57.0¢17.544Sep 24
XRP Up or Down on August 11?BUY15.0¢41.333Aug 11
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.9¢415Jul 24
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.6¢416.78Jul 24
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?BUY54.0¢46.296Jul 23
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?BUY1.0¢415Jul 23
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢416.785Jul 23
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?SELL0.5¢428.57Jul 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%6%10–20%13%20–30%6%30–50%19%50–70%70–80%80–90%25%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.2%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.92
Drawdown Resilience0.74
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity24 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,0542d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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