0x849061...84ecfa

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.1%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.50

Max Drawdown

45496.5%

ROI

24.1%

Profit Factor

2.76

Kelly Fraction

0.396

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?	BUY	70.0¢	1.429	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	1.006	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	1.006	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?	BUY	75.0¢	1.333	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?	BUY	75.0¢	1.333	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	13.099	Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1AM ET	SELL	56.0¢	1.92	Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1AM ET	BUY	52.0¢	1.923	Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 5?	BUY	98.6¢	1.014	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	7.0¢	1.84	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	8.0¢	2.04	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	65.0¢	1.08	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	61.0¢	0.43	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	58.0¢	0.37	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	57.0¢	0.18	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	57.0¢	0.37	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	55.0¢	0.92	Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	65.0¢	1.63	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%

Win Consistency48.3%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,5960d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue