0x84f3f7...7fdaa0

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.2%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.84

Sortino Ratio

-0.50

Max Drawdown

1.8%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.93

Kelly Fraction

0.425

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	44.132	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 27?	BUY	99.8¢	51.102	Feb 26
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	51.051	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on February 24?	BUY	99.9¢	18.018	Feb 23
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in February?	BUY	99.8¢	25.05	Feb 23
Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in February?	BUY	98.9¢	12.133	Feb 23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	20.04	Feb 5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $570 end of January?	BUY	99.8¢	25.05	Jan 29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	23.023	Jan 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	18.018	Jan 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	21.021	Jan 28
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 28?	BUY	99.9¢	13.013	Jan 27
Will Slime Cry by YoungBoy Never Broke Again be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	27.027	Jan 26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	20.121	Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 20-21°F on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	6.006	Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 41°C or higher on January 24?	BUY	99.8¢	27.054	Jan 22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 41°C or higher on January 24?	BUY	99.8¢	27.054	Jan 22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Dec 31

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.9%

Win Consistency64.7%

Profit Factor1.25

Drawdown Resilience1.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.77

Trading Activity18 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$4290d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue