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0x85b5c5...69145d

0x85b5c5...69145d
Smart Score
43
Win Rate
75.0%
Total P&L
+$5.3K
Trade Count
443
Sharpe Ratio
0.41
Sortino Ratio
3.13
Max Drawdown
1893.2%
ROI
36.4%
Profit Factor
6.36
Kelly Fraction
0.632
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
042.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY1.9¢80Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY98.2¢80Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢80Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.4¢80Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢110Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢110Mar 5
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY98.9¢110Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY1.2¢110Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢50Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢50Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢60Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢60Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢90Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.2¢90Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY16.1¢10Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY84.0¢10Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.5¢100Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢100Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.4¢110Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.7¢110Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%44%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%43%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.34
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.7%
Win Consistency43.7%
Profit Factor1.10
Drawdown Resilience0.89
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity443 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$12,8580d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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