0x86514E458aA5259Ad82c40aB704Dd9Da8AAc22Ca-1772260601848

0x86514e...ac22ca

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.2%

Total P&L

+$201

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.79

Sortino Ratio

158.24

Max Drawdown

53.4%

ROI

19.9%

Profit Factor

3.28

Kelly Fraction

0.314

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

064.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	10.5¢	3,773.08	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	1.7¢	3,637.778	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	SELL	62.0¢	100.78	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	BUY	47.0¢	100.787	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	BUY	57.9¢	17.259	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	SELL	98.0¢	58.55	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	BUY	65.9¢	18.607	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	BUY	49.0¢	40.816	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	32.32	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	BUY	61.0¢	32.787	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	BUY	70.2¢	14.243	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	73.9¢	135.306	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	BUY	68.0¢	17.618	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	11.98	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	BUY	48.0¢	10.417	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	BUY	46.0¢	2.174	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	35.714	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	3.2¢	31.25	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active64.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.0%

Win Consistency43.8%

Profit Factor1.68

Drawdown Resilience1.36

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.36

Weekly Sharpe est.1.04

Trading Activity43 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1291d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue