0x86c2d2...774785

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.7%

Total P&L

+$692

Trade Count

801

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

10.16

Max Drawdown

3183.8%

ROI

27.1%

Profit Factor

2.23

Kelly Fraction

0.202

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 21?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Jan 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?	BUY	1.0¢	49.62	Jan 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?	BUY	1.0¢	5	Jan 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?	BUY	1.0¢	16.39	Jan 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?	BUY	1.0¢	6	Jan 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?	BUY	1.0¢	22.982	Jan 20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?	BUY	2.0¢	33.337	Jan 20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?	BUY	2.0¢	20.513	Jan 20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 21?	BUY	3.0¢	25	Jan 20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 21?	BUY	23.0¢	5	Jan 20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 21?	BUY	25.0¢	5	Jan 20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 21?	BUY	26.0¢	5	Jan 20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	0.1¢	100	Jan 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	0.2¢	10	Jan 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	0.7¢	2.31	Jan 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	0.7¢	7.69	Jan 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	4.0¢	100	Jan 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	5.0¢	50	Jan 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	7.6¢	5	Jan 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 20?	BUY	7.6¢	5	Jan 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%

Win Consistency53.4%

Profit Factor0.82

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity801 trades · 40 active days

P&L Calendar

$42614d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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