0x879368...eefaf6

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.0%

Total P&L

-$722

Trade Count

339

Sharpe Ratio

1.98

Sortino Ratio

4.27

Max Drawdown

171.3%

ROI

-30.0%

Profit Factor

0.28

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	0.25	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	4.03	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	10.94	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	29.0¢	9.66	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	26.0¢	76.92	Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 7 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	BUY	8.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	39.0¢	4.77	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	61.0¢	40.47	Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 7 be greater than 2,800,000?	BUY	99.4¢	20.02	Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 7 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	BUY	8.0¢	10.5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	BUY	44.0¢	45.45	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	31.0¢	0.91	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	38.0¢	39.54	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.0¢	7.09	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	22.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	24.0¢	5.51	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	25.0¢	51.8	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	25.0¢	11.52	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	25.0¢	51.18	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	25.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.4%

Win Consistency56.9%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity339 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,3962d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue