0x879eb5...43c960

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.4%

Total P&L

-$8.7K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.05

Sortino Ratio

0.05

Max Drawdown

63.8%

ROI

-7.5%

Profit Factor

0.32

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?	BUY	98.9¢	2,920.597	Dec 10
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?	SELL	91.0¢	2,200	Nov 26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 25?	BUY	68.0¢	100	Nov 25
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?	BUY	94.9¢	2,811.077	Nov 25
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?	SELL	95.0¢	100	Nov 24
Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?	BUY	54.0¢	37.62	Nov 24
Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?	BUY	54.0¢	4.348	Nov 24
Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?	BUY	54.0¢	58.03	Nov 24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 24?	BUY	64.0¢	30.55	Nov 23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 24?	BUY	64.0¢	69.444	Nov 23
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	SELL	99.5¢	171.5	Nov 23
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	SELL	99.5¢	17	Nov 23
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	SELL	99.5¢	10	Nov 23
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	SELL	99.5¢	240	Nov 23
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	SELL	99.5¢	66	Nov 23
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	SELL	99.5¢	138	Nov 23
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	SELL	99.5¢	94	Nov 23
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	BUY	99.1¢	22	Nov 22
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	BUY	99.1¢	122	Nov 22
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?	SELL	99.5¢	263.5	Nov 22

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency86.4%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity70 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,1618d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue